Rover's Weekly Market Brief - 07/18/2025

Checking the Technicals

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The How To posts can quickly show how you accomplish things and help you use Stock Rover more productively. Today we want to highlight Checking the Technicals.

Economy

The Labor Department reported that the Consumer Price Index increased by 0.3% in June (seasonally adjusted), following a 0.1% rise in May. The all items index rose 2.7% over the last 12 months, up from 2.4% in May. June’s monthly increase was primarily driven by a 0.2% rise in the shelter index, which was the largest contributor to the overall gain. The food index also rose 0.3%, with both food at home and food away from home increasing. The energy index rose 0.9% in June, as the gasoline index climbed 1.0%. Despite this monthly gain, the energy index is down 0.8% year over year. Core CPI inflation (all items less food and energy) increased 0.2% in June, after a 0.1% rise in May, and registered a 2.9% annual gain. Notably higher year-over-year indexes included motor vehicle insurance (+6.1%), shelter (+3.8%), household furnishings (+3.3%), medical care (+2.8%), and recreation (+2.1%).

The Labor Department reported that the Producer Price Index for final demand, which tracks the prices producers pay for goods and services, was unchanged in June, following a 0.3% increase in May and a 0.3% decline in April. Over the 12-month period ending in June 2025, the PPI rose 2.3% on an unadjusted basis. The flat reading in June resulted from a 0.3% increase in final demand goods being offset by a 0.1% decline in final demand services. The rise in goods prices was largely driven by a 0.3% increase in final demand goods excluding food and energy, while energy and food prices also rose by 0.6% and 0.2%, respectively. Among services, the index excluding trade, transportation, and warehousing fell 0.1%, and prices for transportation and warehousing services dropped 0.9%. The core PPI—which strips out food, energy, and trade services—was unchanged in June after edging up 0.1% in May. For the 12-month period, the core PPI rose 2.5%, slightly down from 2.7% in May.

The Commerce Department reported a 0.6% rise in advance U.S. retail and food services sales in June, bringing the total to $720.1B. This follows an unrevised 0.9% decrease in May. Year-over-year, retail sales have increased by 3.9%, and the April-June period shows a 4.1% increase compared to last year. Sales increases were noted in building & garden (+0.9%), motor vehicle & parts (+0.5%), and general merchandise (+0.5%). Meanwhile, restaurant sales (the sole service category) grew by 0.6% in June and a notable 6.6% from the previous year. Retail trade sales increased 0.6% from the previous month and increase 3.5% from the last year. Nonstore retailers saw an increase of 4.5% from last year, while food and drinking places were up 6.6% from last year.

Upcoming Economic Reports:

Wednesday July 23 – Existing Home Sales (June)

Friday July 25 – Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (June)

Earnings Calendar:

 

Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday
Roper Technologies (ROP)	Coca-Cola (KO)	Alphabet (GOOGL)	Honeywell Intl (HON)	Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)
Verizon Communications (VZ)	SAP (SAP)	Tesla (TSLA)	Union Pacific (UNP)	HCA Healthcare (HCA)