Rover's Weekly Market Brief —9/28/2018

September 28, 2018 Printer Friendly Printer Friendly


DJIA: 26,458.00 (-1.07%)

NASDAQ: 8,046.00 (+0.74%)

S&P 500: 2,914.00 (-0.53%)


Gold: 1,195.40 (-0.10%)

Copper: 278.30 (-2.61%)

Crude Oil: 73.49 (+3.83%)

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The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained their economic assessment of a strengthening labor market and a strong rate of economic activity from their August meeting and voted unanimously to raise the prime rate by 25 basis points to a range of 2.0% – 2.25%. The FOMC also updated their June economic projections, with the median estimates increasing 2018 GDP from 2.8% to 3.1%, and 2019 from 2.4% to 2.5%, and raising the 2018 unemployment rate from 3.6% to 3.7%. Their estimates for future prime rate increases were unchanged, with one more 0.25% raise slated for 2018, three increases for 2019, and one increase for 2020, bringing the prime rate to 3.25% – 3.5%, but eventually dropping to a longer run rate of 3.0% (+0.1% from June’s 2.9% forecast).

In the third estimate of 2018 Q2 GDP upward revisions to most GDP components and a slight downward revision to imports were balanced by a downward revision to private inventory investment, leaving GDP unchanged at 4.2%. The average of real GDP and real GDI (gross domestic income), a supplemental economic measure, was revised downward by -0.1% to 2.9% due to a -0.2% drop in the real GDI estimate to 1.6%. Both the overall gross domestic purchases and personal consumption price indexes were revised upwards by +0.1% to 2.4% and 2.0%, respectively. Compared to theirinitial estimate, corporate profits from current production were revised downward from $72.4 billion to $65 billion, with significant downward revisions to profits for domestic nonfinancial corporations (-$10.6 billion to $53 billion), and rest-of-the-world profits were revised from a -$8.0 billion decrease to a $4.5 billion decrease.

In August, wages and salaries rose +0.5% and rental income was up +0.8%, helping to boost personal income up by +0.3% for the month and +2.9% for the year. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) were up +0.3%, slowing from July’s +0.4% rise, and were up +3.0% vs August 2017, with yearly increases of +6.4% for durable goods, +3.3% for nondurable goods, and +2.5% for services. PCE inflation was relatively unchanged from the previous month, with a +0.1% monthly gain and a -0.1% drop in the yearly rate to 2.2%, while core inflation, which excludes food and energy, remained at the FOMC’s target 2.0% yearly rate. The personal saving rate remained steady at 6.6%, down from a high of 7.4% in February, and the lowest rate since 6.2% in December 2017.

Upcoming Economic Reports:

Friday October 5 – Employment Situation

Friday October 5 – International Trade

Earnings Calendar:


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Super Markets


Bill Dickinson says:

Directly above this comment box is a notation about earnings. One of the reports is from Stitch Fix (SFIX).
I am confused. SFIX is recommended as a BUY. It is currently at about $45 and your target price is at $33. How can it be a BUY ?
Second question. I went to SFIX.COM to learn more about their product and found the domain to be for sale. Also I went to SFIX as specified on your analysis page and found nothing. How do I know they really exist?
I am not holding you responsible but am just confused.
You are a fantastic source. Keep up the great work.

Howard Reisman says:

Please note – we don’t recommend stocks, we just provide data to help investors make better decisions. The information you are seeing is from the Analyst community. It is their price target and their consensus recommendation. It is fair to say that the stuff they provide to the investment community isn’t always rational. However they do move stocks and hence we report what they say as another to the puzzle when evaluating stocks.

SFIX was highlighted in the newsletter because they are one of the two largest companies reporting on Monday per Morningstar’s data. That is the sole criteria for getting listed in the Earnings calendar section of the weekly brief.

We are glad you are enjoying Stock Rover and appreciate the feedback.

Comments are closed.