Dividend Adjusted Return
Sep 25, 2025 - Sep 25, 2026HD 293.20 (-26.4%)
Consumer Cyclical 370.94 (-5.9%)
S&P 500 7743.41 (+17.9%)






Stock Rover estimates Home Depot’s intrinsic (fair) value at $271.12, against a recent price of $293.20, a margin of safety of -8%. Quantitative scores (0–100): Value 71, Quality 81, Growth 59, Sentiment 30. Analyst consensus: Buy.







Fair Value | $271.12 | |
Margin of Safety | -8% |
Value Score 71 Value Score: Our value score looks at EV/EBITDA, P/E, P/S, P/TB (Price/Tangible Book) and EPS Predictability. P/S and P/TB are compared within a sector. Other metrics are compared across all stocks | Quality Score 81 Quality Score: Our quality score compares profitability and balance sheet metrics to find high quality companies using ROIC, Net Margin, Gross Margin, Interest Coverage, and Debt / Equity metrics. |
Growth Score 59 Growth Score: Our growth score looks at the 5 year history and the forward estimates for EBITDA, Sales, and EPS growth, ranking the best companies across all stocks. | Sentiment Score 30 Sentiment Score: Our sentiment score finds stocks in favor by analyzing Short Interest, returns in key periods over the last year, Price vs. 52-wk High, Days Since 52-wk High and MACD signals. |
| HD | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value Score | 71 | 73 | 69 |
| Price / Earnings | 20.5 | 19.9 | 27.0 |
| Price / Sales | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3.7 |
| Price / Free Cash Flow | 19.3 | 18.1 | 36.3 |
| Price / Book | 17.6 | 13.4 | 5.9 |
| Price / Tangible Book | - | - | 374.0 |
| EV / EBITDA | 13.9 | 13.5 | 19.7 |
| EPS Predict. Pctl. | 99 | 78 | 71 |
| Piotroski F Score | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 5‑Year P/E Range | 16.8 29.3 |
| 5‑Year P/B Range | 17.5 - |
| 5‑Year P/S Range | 1.7 3.1 |
| HD | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Growth Score | 59 | 63 | 78 |
| Sales Growth | |||
| Sales Growth Next Year | 3.4% | 3.3% | 23.2% |
| Sales 1‑Year Chg (%) | 2.5% | 0.9% | 22.6% |
| Sales 3‑Year Avg (%) | 3.0% | 1.6% | 14.8% |
| Sales 5‑Year Avg (%) | 3.2% | 2.2% | 13.4% |
| EPS Growth | |||
| Next Yr. Growth Est. | 6.7% | 6.5% | 33.7% |
| EPS 1‑Year Chg (%) | -2.9% | -5.2% | 37.3% |
| EPS 3‑Year Avg (%) | -3.7% | -2.8% | 18.3% |
| EPS 5‑Year Avg (%) | 0.1% | 0.5% | 15.3% |






HD | Home Depot | $292,522 | 20.5 | 3.2% | -12.6% | -26.0% | -8% | 71 | 59 | 81 |
BABA | Alibaba Gr Hldgs | $272,854 | 26.6 | 1.0% | -8.1% | -36.9% | 17% | 63 | 81 | 69 |
TJX | TJX Companies | $143,062 | 24.1 | 1.4% | -6.8% | -6.9% | -12% | 62 | 81 | 89 |
PDD | PDD Holdings | $110,412 | 8.7 | - | -11.6% | -40.8% | 27% | 87 | 86 | 98 |
LOW | Lowe's Companies | $106,196 | 16.0 | 2.6% | -11.8% | -24.4% | -3% | 75 | 60 | 76 |
MELI | MercadoLibre | $88,851 | 47.7 | - | -12.2% | -29.7% | 13% | 66 | 99 | 76 |
DASH | DoorDash | $83,782 | 101.8 | - | -17.2% | -26.2% | -13% | 49 | 78 | 52 |
ROST | Ross Stores | $75,429 | 28.6 | 0.7% | -1.9% | 59.3% | -20% | 59 | 85 | 91 |
SE | Sea | $60,972 | 38.4 | - | -19.2% | -46.5% | 11% | 65 | 95 | 88 |
JD | JD.com | $35,801 | 18.5 | 3.8% | -9.7% | -21.9% | 36% | 92 | 79 | 58 |
BBY | Best Buy Co | $18,982 | 15.1 | 4.2% | 7.2% | 28.5% | -10% | 91 | 63 | 80 |
FND | Floor & Decor Hldgs | $5,011 | 22.0 | - | -13.3% | -38.8% | -2% | 76 | 77 | 71 |
| HD | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality Score | 81 | 62 | 75 |
| Gross Margin | 33.2% | 34.0% | 32.8% |
| Operating Margin | 12.4% | 10.7% | 16.9% |
| Net Margin | 8.4% | 7.0% | 13.8% |
| Return on Assets | 13.5% | 12.7% | 15.4% |
| Return on Equity | 85.6% | 111.4% | 40.2% |
| ROIC | 20.8% | 20.1% | 32.2% |
| HD | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sentiment Score | 30 | 50 | 62 |
| 5‑Day Return | -2.3% | -1.8% | 1.2% |
| 1‑Month Return | -12.6% | -12.3% | 1.1% |
| YTD Return | -12.9% | -13.0% | 14.0% |
| 1‑Year Return | -26.0% | -24.6% | 18.5% |
| 3‑Year Return | 3.3% | 4.0% | 85.1% |
| 5‑Year Return | -1.4% | -0.1% | 85.9% |
| Beta 1‑Year | 0.70 | 0.62 | 1.00 |






| HD | Industry | |
|---|---|---|
| Forward Dividend Yield | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 64.7% | 59.9% |
| TTM Yield | 3.2% | - |
| Fwd. Div. Per Share | $9.32 | $6.94 |
| Div. 1Y Chg (%) | 1.3% | - |
| Div. 3Y Avg (%) | 3.7% | - |
| Div. 5Y Avg (%) | 7.1% | - |
| Cons. Growth Years | 10+ | - |
| Div. Coverage Ratio | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Current Ratio | 1.1 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.3 |
| Price | $293.20 |
| Net Cash Per Share | -$60.85 |
| Equity Per Share | $16.67 |
| Debt / Equity | 3.8 |
| Solvency Ratio | 21% |
| Interest Coverage | 8.8 |
| Short % of Float | 1.0% |
| Altman Z‑Score | 5.4 |
| Current Quarter EPS | |
|---|---|
# Up Last 30 days | 1.00 |
# Down Last 30 days | 28.00 |
Mean Estimate | 3.84 |
% Change (30 Days) | -2.92% |
| Next Quarter EPS | |
|---|---|
# Up Last 30 days | 11.00 |
# Down Last 30 days | 18.00 |
Mean Estimate | 2.83 |
% Change (30 Days) | -0.49% |
| Cur Qtr | Next Qtr | Cur Year | Next Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latest | $3.84 | $2.83 | $15.02 | $16.02 |
| 30 Days Ago | $3.96 | $2.85 | $14.96 | $16.11 |
| 90 Days Ago | $3.96 | $2.85 | $14.96 | $16.11 |
| % Change (90 Days) | -3.0% | -0.6% | 0.4% | -0.5% |
| Surprise Type | Amount | Percent |
|---|---|---|
| Positive Quarters (> 2%) | 5 | 41.7% |
| Negative Quarters (< 2%) | 0 | - |
| In-Line Quarters (within 2%) | 7 | 58.3% |
| Surprise Type | Announce Date | Period End Date | Actual EPS | Est. EPS | Surprise (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positive | 08/18/26 | 07/31/26 | $4.92 | $4.71 | 4.5% |
| In-Line | 05/19/26 | 04/30/26 | $3.43 | $3.40 | 0.9% |
| Positive | 02/24/26 | 01/31/26 | $2.72 | $2.52 | 7.9% |
| In-Line | 11/18/25 | 10/31/25 | $3.74 | $3.81 | -1.8% |
| In-Line | 08/19/25 | 07/31/25 | $4.68 | $4.71 | -0.6% |
| In-Line | 05/20/25 | - | $3.56 | $3.59 | -0.8% |
| HD | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best Monthly Return (5Y) | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.6% |
| Worst Monthly Return (5Y) | -14.3% | -11.1% | -9.6% |
| Beta 1‑Year | 0.70 | 0.62 | 1.00 |
| Volatility 1‑Year | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| Volatility 1Y Pctl. | 24 | - | - |
| Max Drawdown 1‑Year | -26.7% | -27.8% | -8.8% |
| Max Drawdown 3‑Year | -29.1% | -29.8% | -18.7% |
| Max Drawdown 5‑Year | -34.7% | -35.1% | -24.6% |











BABA | Alibaba Gr Hldgs | 76 | 8.6% | -79.6% | 12.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% |
JD | JD.com | 65 | -2.9% | 21.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% |
FND | Floor & Decor Hldgs | 48 | 3.0% | 53.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 9.1% |
LOW | Lowe's Companies | 13 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 2.5% | 8.2% | -1.0% | -0.9% |
HD | Home Depot | 11 | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% |
JD | JD.com | 94 | 18.5 | 0.9 | - | 0.2 | 1.1 | 7.4 - |
BABA | Alibaba Gr Hldgs | 45 | 26.6 | 1.8 | - | 1.8 | 1.7 | 9.4 156.8 |
FND | Floor & Decor Hldgs | 34 | 22.0 | 21.4 | - | 1.1 | 2.0 | 21.5 64.0 |
LOW | Lowe's Companies | 28 | 16.0 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 1.2 | - | 14.1 26.9 |
HD | Home Depot | 8 | 20.5 | 18.3 | 209.0 | 1.7 | 17.6 | 16.8 29.3 |
HD | Home Depot | 88 | 33.2% | 12.4% | 8.4% | -100.0% 817.0% | 13.5% 22.9% |
JD | JD.com | 87 | 16.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | -4.9% 19.3% | -2.4% 7.4% |
LOW | Lowe's Companies | 84 | 33.1% | 11.4% | 7.4% | -100.0% -40.9% | 12.5% 17.7% |
BABA | Alibaba Gr Hldgs | 60 | 38.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 1.4% 14.6% | -0.1% 8.0% |
FND | Floor & Decor Hldgs | 42 | 44.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% 23.0% | 3.6% 9.3% |
BABA | Alibaba Gr Hldgs | 78 | 0.3 | 11.5 | 1.4 | 13.2% | 10% | 1.7% |
FND | Floor & Decor Hldgs | 67 | 0.8 | 20.7 | 0.5 | 7.1% | 15% | 13.3% |
JD | JD.com | 63 | 0.5 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 10.0% | 3% | 1.8% |
HD | Home Depot | 44 | 3.8 | 8.8 | 0.3 | 30.5% | 21% | 1.0% |
LOW | Lowe's Companies | 19 | - | 6.4 | 0.3 | 17.3% | 15% | 1.8% |
LOW | Lowe's Companies | 78 | 2.6% | 2.6% | $189.28 | $5.00 | 10+ | 41.0% |
HD | Home Depot | 65 | 3.2% | 3.2% | $293.20 | $9.32 | 10+ | 64.7% |
JD | JD.com | 63 | 3.8% | 3.8% | $26.51 | $1.00 | 2 | 65.6% |
BABA | Alibaba Gr Hldgs | 15 | 1.0% | 1.0% | $109.74 | $1.05 | 2 | 23.3% |
FND | Floor & Decor Hldgs | - | - | - | $47.06 | - | - | - |
BABA | Alibaba Gr Hldgs | 44 | -8.1% | 15.4% | -14.7% | -24.4% | -36.9% | 1.30 | 0.41 | 57.0% |
JD | JD.com | 40 | -9.7% | 5.2% | -7.7% | -4.3% | -21.9% | 0.80 | 0.30 | 71.9% |
HD | Home Depot | 8 | -12.6% | -14.4% | -10.5% | -12.9% | -26.0% | 0.70 | 0.25 | 71.3% |
LOW | Lowe's Companies | 7 | -11.8% | -14.2% | -19.0% | -20.3% | -24.4% | 0.63 | 0.27 | 64.6% |
FND | Floor & Decor Hldgs | 5 | -13.3% | -19.3% | -10.8% | -22.7% | -38.8% | 1.62 | 0.47 | 60.5% |





2026 Dividends | $6.99 |
09/03/26 | 09/17/26 | Regular | $2.33 |
06/04/26 | 06/18/26 | Regular | $2.33 |
03/12/26 | 03/26/26 | Regular | $2.33 |
2025 Dividends | $9.20 |
12/04/25 | 12/18/25 | Regular | $2.30 |
09/04/25 | 09/18/25 | Regular | $2.30 |
06/05/25 | 06/18/25 | Regular | $2.30 |
03/13/25 | 03/27/25 | Regular | $2.30 |
2024 Dividends | $9.00 |
11/27/24 | 12/12/24 | Regular | $2.25 |
08/29/24 | 09/12/24 | Regular | $2.25 |
05/30/24 | 06/13/24 | Regular | $2.25 |
03/06/24 | 03/21/24 | Regular | $2.25 |
2023 Dividends | $8.36 |
11/29/23 | 12/14/23 | Regular | $2.09 |
08/30/23 | 09/14/23 | Regular | $2.09 |
05/31/23 | 06/15/23 | Regular | $2.09 |
03/08/23 | 03/23/23 | Regular | $2.09 |
2022 Dividends | $7.60 |
11/30/22 | 12/15/22 | Regular | $1.90 |
08/31/22 | 09/15/22 | Regular | $1.90 |
06/01/22 | 06/16/22 | Regular | $1.90 |
03/09/22 | 03/24/22 | Regular | $1.90 |
Ex-Dividend Date | 09/03/26 |
Payment Date | 09/17/26 |
Amount | $2.33 |
Type | Regular |
Regular Dividend | $2.33 |
Forward Dividend Rate | $9.32 |
Forward Dividend Yield | 3.2% |
Trailing 12 Months Dividends | $9.29 |
Trailing 12 Months Yield | 3.2% |
Payout Ratio | 64.7 |
Dividend Coverage Ratio | 1.5 |
Consecutive Growth Years | 10+ |
3 Year Growth Rate | 3.7% |
5 Year Growth Rate | 7.1% |
10 Year Growth Rate | 12.9% |
Price / Earnings | 20.5 | 27.7 | 26.6 | 18.7 | 17.2 |
Price / Cash Flow | 15.6 | 22.7 | 19.9 | 15.8 | 20.4 |
Price / Book | 17.6 | 50.9 | 216.4 | 500+ | - |
Price / Tangible Book | - | - | - | - | - |
Price / Sales | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
EV / EBITDA | 13.9 | 18.1 | 17.8 | 13.5 | 12.1 |
Forward Dividend Yield | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% |
Shareholder Yield | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% |
Gross Margin | 33.2% | 33.4% | 33.6% | 33.5% | 33.5% |
Net Margin | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% |
Return on Assets | 13.5% | 14.9% | 18.3% | - | - |
Return on Equity | 85.6% | 137.2% | 334.2% | - | - |
ROIC | 20.8% | 23.6% | 29.2% | 34.9% | 39.2% |
Additional data provided by Zacks, Intrinio, Quandl, Yodlee, IEX Cloud
HD has underperformed its sector by -20.5% in the past year.
The Consumer Cyclical sector has underperformed the market by -23.8% in the past year.