Dividend Adjusted Return
Sep 4, 2025 - Sep 4, 2026MCD 255.69 (-17.1%)
Consumer Cyclical 387.34 (+1.6%)
S&P 500 7718.60 (+21.0%)






Stock Rover estimates McDonald's’s intrinsic (fair) value at $274.00, against a recent price of $255.69, a margin of safety of 7%. Quantitative scores (0–100): Value 66, Quality 86, Growth 82, Sentiment 51. Analyst consensus: Buy.







Fair Value | $274.00 | |
Margin of Safety | 7% |
Value Score 66 Value Score: Our value score looks at EV/EBITDA, P/E, P/S, P/TB (Price/Tangible Book) and EPS Predictability. P/S and P/TB are compared within a sector. Other metrics are compared across all stocks | Quality Score 86 Quality Score: Our quality score compares profitability and balance sheet metrics to find high quality companies using ROIC, Net Margin, Gross Margin, Interest Coverage, and Debt / Equity metrics. |
Growth Score 82 Growth Score: Our growth score looks at the 5 year history and the forward estimates for EBITDA, Sales, and EPS growth, ranking the best companies across all stocks. | Sentiment Score 51 Sentiment Score: Our sentiment score finds stocks in favor by analyzing Short Interest, returns in key periods over the last year, Price vs. 52-wk High, Days Since 52-wk High and MACD signals. |
| MCD | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value Score | 66 | 59 | 72 |
| Price / Earnings | 20.8 | 3.7 | 26.9 |
| Price / Sales | 6.6 | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| Price / Free Cash Flow | 23.5 | 22.9 | 36.1 |
| Price / Book | - | 13.1 | 5.9 |
| Price / Tangible Book | - | - | 382.3 |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.6 | 17.1 | 19.3 |
| EPS Predict. Pctl. | 95 | 57 | 72 |
| Piotroski F Score | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 5‑Year P/E Range | 20.8 36.0 |
| 5‑Year P/B Range | - - |
| 5‑Year P/S Range | 6.6 9.5 |
| MCD | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Growth Score | 82 | 64 | 77 |
| Sales Growth | |||
| Sales Growth Next Year | 5.2% | 7.9% | 22.6% |
| Sales 1‑Year Chg (%) | 6.3% | 5.6% | 21.3% |
| Sales 3‑Year Avg (%) | 4.6% | 5.2% | 14.7% |
| Sales 5‑Year Avg (%) | 5.0% | 7.4% | 13.1% |
| EPS Growth | |||
| Next Yr. Growth Est. | 8.1% | 10.6% | 21.1% |
| EPS 1‑Year Chg (%) | 5.5% | 9.2% | 34.5% |
| EPS 3‑Year Avg (%) | 4.3% | 5.8% | 18.5% |
| EPS 5‑Year Avg (%) | 6.0% | 7.5% | 14.3% |





MCD | McDonald's | $180,936 | 20.8 | 2.9% | -4.0% | -17.3% | 7% | 66 | 82 | 86 |
SBUX | Starbucks | $119,095 | 60.2 | 2.4% | 0.1% | 23.1% | -8% | 58 | 73 | 67 |
CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | $46,769 | 34.3 | - | 9.3% | -10.7% | -15% | 61 | 93 | 56 |
YUM | Yum Brands | $41,128 | 19.0 | 2.0% | 2.1% | 6.4% | -11% | 65 | 89 | 87 |
DRI | Darden Restaurants | $24,624 | 20.8 | 2.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | -5% | 69 | 90 | 76 |
YUMC | Yum China Holdings | $14,833 | 16.0 | 2.6% | -8.4% | -0.2% | 19% | 82 | 87 | 55 |
TXRH | Texas Roadhouse | $12,441 | 30.3 | 1.6% | -8.6% | 13.8% | 3% | 66 | 95 | 55 |
DPZ | Domino's Pizza | $11,283 | 19.3 | 2.3% | -7.2% | -24.8% | 3% | 73 | 76 | 83 |
EAT | Brinker International | $9,615 | 21.2 | - | 5.5% | 44.0% | -14% | 71 | 93 | 80 |
CAVA | Cava Group | $7,097 | 108.7 | - | -4.2% | -7.9% | -10% | 49 | 96 | 43 |
BROS | Dutch Bros | $6,425 | 64.5 | - | -27.3% | -34.8% | 22% | 50 | 72 | 60 |
CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory | $5,356 | 29.2 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 79.4% | -4% | 61 | 87 | 68 |
| MCD | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality Score | 86 | 59 | 75 |
| Gross Margin | 57.4% | 32.6% | 32.8% |
| Operating Margin | 45.7% | 13.9% | 16.8% |
| Net Margin | 31.7% | 8.0% | 13.7% |
| Return on Assets | 14.8% | 11.5% | 15.0% |
| Return on Equity | -100.0% | -100.0% | 40.1% |
| ROIC | 19.4% | 18.0% | 27.5% |
| MCD | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sentiment Score | 51 | 43 | 58 |
| 5‑Day Return | -2.8% | -2.0% | 0.1% |
| 1‑Month Return | -4.0% | -0.6% | -0.2% |
| YTD Return | -14.7% | 0.5% | 13.4% |
| 1‑Year Return | -17.3% | -3.1% | 20.0% |
| 3‑Year Return | -2.2% | 2.0% | 77.4% |
| 5‑Year Return | 20.3% | 4.2% | 82.1% |
| Beta 1‑Year | -0.03 | 0.22 | 1.00 |






| MCD | Industry | |
|---|---|---|
| Forward Dividend Yield | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 59.5% | 54.9% |
| TTM Yield | 2.9% | - |
| Fwd. Div. Per Share | $7.44 | $3.29 |
| Div. 1Y Chg (%) | 5.1% | - |
| Div. 3Y Avg (%) | 7.0% | - |
| Div. 5Y Avg (%) | 7.6% | - |
| Cons. Growth Years | 10+ | - |
| Div. Coverage Ratio | 1.7 | 12.2 |
| Current Ratio | 1.1 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.1 |
| Price | $255.69 |
| Net Cash Per Share | -$75.63 |
| Equity Per Share | -$1.44 |
| Solvency Ratio | 19% |
| Interest Coverage | 7.9 |
| Short % of Float | 1.7% |
| Altman Z‑Score | 4.6 |
| Current Quarter EPS | |
|---|---|
# Up Last 30 days | 2.00 |
# Down Last 30 days | 22.00 |
Mean Estimate | 3.40 |
% Change (30 Days) | -0.66% |
| Next Quarter EPS | |
|---|---|
# Up Last 30 days | 3.00 |
# Down Last 30 days | 21.00 |
Mean Estimate | 3.30 |
% Change (30 Days) | -1.12% |
| Cur Qtr | Next Qtr | Cur Year | Next Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latest | $3.40 | $3.30 | $12.93 | $13.98 |
| 30 Days Ago | $3.43 | $3.34 | $12.92 | $14.12 |
| 90 Days Ago | $3.45 | $3.37 | $12.99 | $14.22 |
| % Change (90 Days) | -1.5% | -1.8% | -0.4% | -1.7% |
| Surprise Type | Amount | Percent |
|---|---|---|
| Positive Quarters (> 2%) | 4 | 33.3% |
| Negative Quarters (< 2%) | 2 | 16.7% |
| In-Line Quarters (within 2%) | 6 | 50.0% |
| Surprise Type | Announce Date | Period End Date | Actual EPS | Est. EPS | Surprise (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In-Line | 08/04/26 | 06/30/26 | $3.38 | $3.32 | 1.8% |
| Positive | 05/07/26 | 03/31/26 | $2.72 | $2.55 | 6.7% |
| Positive | 02/11/26 | 12/31/25 | $3.12 | $3.05 | 2.3% |
| Negative | 11/05/25 | 09/30/25 | $3.22 | $3.33 | -3.3% |
| In-Line | 08/06/25 | 06/30/25 | $3.19 | $3.15 | 1.4% |
| In-Line | 05/01/25 | - | $2.67 | $2.67 | 0.0% |
| MCD | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best Monthly Return (5Y) | 15.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| Worst Monthly Return (5Y) | -10.0% | -7.2% | -9.6% |
| Beta 1‑Year | -0.03 | 0.22 | 1.00 |
| Volatility 1‑Year | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Volatility 1Y Pctl. | 17 | - | - |
| Max Drawdown 1‑Year | -24.5% | -22.6% | -8.8% |
| Max Drawdown 3‑Year | -24.5% | -30.7% | -18.7% |
| Max Drawdown 5‑Year | -24.5% | -33.5% | -24.6% |











YUM | Yum Brands | 97 | 12.3% | 131.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
DRI | Darden Restaurants | 72 | 13.7% | 37.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.6% |
CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | 62 | 9.3% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% |
MCD | McDonald's | 58 | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% |
SBUX | Starbucks | 34 | -1.4% | 85.7% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 7.2% |
DRI | Darden Restaurants | 62 | 20.8 | 17.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 11.2 | 14.0 33.3 |
YUM | Yum Brands | 48 | 19.0 | 20.2 | 1.5 | 4.8 | - | 18.2 35.0 |
MCD | McDonald's | 30 | 20.8 | 18.3 | 3.5 | 6.6 | - | 20.8 36.0 |
CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | 28 | 34.3 | 27.0 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 21.3 | 24.7 136.3 |
SBUX | Starbucks | 15 | 60.2 | 33.5 | - | 3.1 | - | 18.9 140.4 |
CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | 99 | 24.1% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 28.4% 64.5% | 10.3% 17.9% |
DRI | Darden Restaurants | 97 | 21.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 29.9% 54.7% | 8.1% 10.0% |
YUM | Yum Brands | 85 | 45.3% | 30.4% | 25.4% | -31.2% -14.0% | 20.9% 29.0% |
MCD | McDonald's | 77 | 57.4% | 45.7% | 31.7% | -100.0% -90.0% | 11.5% 16.4% |
SBUX | Starbucks | 36 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 5.2% | -78.9% -16.3% | 4.3% 14.9% |
CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | 72 | 2.5 | - | 0.6 | 0.3% | 28% | 3.4% |
DRI | Darden Restaurants | 48 | 2.9 | 8.1 | 0.2 | 24.2% | 21% | 7.7% |
SBUX | Starbucks | 36 | - | 6.5 | 0.5 | 5.0% | 12% | 3.6% |
YUM | Yum Brands | 30 | - | 5.3 | 0.6 | 17.5% | 18% | 3.6% |
MCD | McDonald's | 9 | - | 7.9 | 1.1 | 5.6% | 19% | 1.7% |
MCD | McDonald's | 77 | 2.9% | 2.9% | $255.69 | $7.44 | 10+ | 59.5% |
DRI | Darden Restaurants | 40 | 2.8% | 2.8% | $216.88 | $6.12 | 5 | 57.4% |
YUM | Yum Brands | 31 | 2.0% | 1.9% | $150.71 | $3.00 | 8 | 36.6% |
SBUX | Starbucks | 27 | 2.4% | 2.4% | $104.47 | $2.48 | 1 | 142.8% |
CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | - | - | - | $36.96 | - | - | - |
DRI | Darden Restaurants | 63 | 6.0% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 20.6% | 6.5% | 0.19 | 0.27 | 94.4% |
SBUX | Starbucks | 63 | 0.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 26.3% | 23.1% | 0.56 | 0.27 | 94.5% |
CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | 59 | 9.3% | 31.2% | 0.7% | -0.1% | -10.7% | 0.72 | 0.42 | 86.3% |
YUM | Yum Brands | 42 | 2.1% | 1.8% | -4.7% | 0.6% | 6.4% | 0.04 | 0.23 | 88.6% |
MCD | McDonald's | 17 | -4.0% | -5.6% | -21.9% | -14.7% | -17.3% | -0.03 | 0.18 | 74.8% |





2026 Dividends | $5.58 |
09/01/26 | 09/16/26 | Regular | $1.86 |
06/02/26 | 06/16/26 | Regular | $1.86 |
03/03/26 | 03/17/26 | Regular | $1.86 |
2025 Dividends | $7.17 |
12/01/25 | 12/15/25 | Regular | $1.86 |
09/02/25 | 09/16/25 | Regular | $1.77 |
06/02/25 | 06/16/25 | Regular | $1.77 |
03/03/25 | 03/17/25 | Regular | $1.77 |
2024 Dividends | $6.78 |
12/02/24 | 12/16/24 | Regular | $1.77 |
09/03/24 | 09/17/24 | Regular | $1.67 |
06/03/24 | 06/17/24 | Regular | $1.67 |
02/29/24 | 03/15/24 | Regular | $1.67 |
2023 Dividends | $6.23 |
11/30/23 | 12/15/23 | Regular | $1.67 |
08/31/23 | 09/18/23 | Regular | $1.52 |
06/02/23 | 06/20/23 | Regular | $1.52 |
02/28/23 | 03/15/23 | Regular | $1.52 |
2022 Dividends | $5.66 |
11/30/22 | 12/15/22 | Regular | $1.52 |
08/31/22 | 09/16/22 | Regular | $1.38 |
06/03/22 | 06/20/22 | Regular | $1.38 |
02/28/22 | 03/15/22 | Regular | $1.38 |
Ex-Dividend Date | 09/01/26 |
Payment Date | 09/16/26 |
Amount | $1.86 |
Type | Regular |
Regular Dividend | $1.86 |
Forward Dividend Rate | $7.44 |
Forward Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
Trailing 12 Months Dividends | $7.44 |
Trailing 12 Months Yield | 2.9% |
Payout Ratio | 59.5 |
Dividend Coverage Ratio | 1.7 |
Consecutive Growth Years | 10+ |
3 Year Growth Rate | 7.0% |
5 Year Growth Rate | 7.6% |
10 Year Growth Rate | 7.6% |
Price / Earnings | 20.8 | 28.0 | 24.5 | 30.2 | 26.9 |
Price / Cash Flow | 16.1 | 24.1 | 22.0 | 27.1 | 20.9 |
Price / Book | - | - | - | - | - |
Price / Tangible Book | - | - | - | - | - |
Price / Sales | 6.6 | 8.9 | 8.2 | 8.9 | 8.0 |
EV / EBITDA | 15.6 | 19.5 | 19.4 | 19.1 | 21.5 |
Forward Dividend Yield | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
Shareholder Yield | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% |
Gross Margin | 57.4% | 57.0% | 57.0% | 57.5% | 55.3% |
Net Margin | 31.7% | 32.2% | 32.3% | 33.1% | 25.8% |
Return on Assets | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 11.7% |
Return on Equity | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% | -95.5% |
ROIC | 19.4% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 17.6% |
Additional data provided by Zacks, Intrinio, Quandl, Yodlee, IEX Cloud
MCD has underperformed its sector by -18.7% in the past year.
The Consumer Cyclical sector has underperformed the market by -19.4% in the past year.