McDonald's (MCD) Research Report — Score, Intrinsic Value, Peer Rankings

McDonald's (MCD)Consumer Cyclical / Restaurants

StockRover

Stock Report | September 27, 2026

$236.50 -$0.52(-0.22%)as of Friday's close

52‑wk Range

$234.03

$341.75

Cap ($M USD) $167,357

P/E 19.2

EPS (1Y)5.5%

Dividend$7.72

Last Filing06/30/26

Sales ($M)27,701

Fwd. P/E 17.1

Sales (1Y)6.3%

Fwd. Yield 3.3%

Next Earnings11/04/26

MCD has underperformed the S&P 500 by -38.2% in the past year.

MCD has underperformed its sector by -14.4% in the past year.

The Consumer Cyclical sector has underperformed the market by -23.8% in the past year.

ANALYST CONSENSUS

Buy

The consensus rating has worsened a little since last month when it was also Buy.

Strong Buy

Buy

Hold

Sell

Strong Sell

Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell

QUANTITATIVE SCORES

Fair Value

$262.82

Margin of Safety

11%

The Margin of Safety is the difference between a company's Fair Value and the current price. See more on page 8.

2 warnings

Details on Page 8

Value Score

Value Score: Our value score looks at EV/EBITDA, P/E, P/S, P/TB (Price/Tangible Book) and EPS Predictability. P/S and P/TB are compared within a sector. Other metrics are compared across all stocks

Quality Score

Quality Score: Our quality score compares profitability and balance sheet metrics to find high quality companies using ROIC, Net Margin, Gross Margin, Interest Coverage, and Debt / Equity metrics.

Growth Score

Growth Score: Our growth score looks at the 5 year history and the forward estimates for EBITDA, Sales, and EPS growth, ranking the best companies across all stocks.

Sentiment Score

Sentiment Score: Our sentiment score finds stocks in favor by analyzing Short Interest, returns in key periods over the last year, Price vs. 52-wk High, Days Since 52-wk High and MACD signals.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

McDonalds is the worlds largest restaurant brand, with nearly $139 billion in systemwide sales across more than 45,000 restaurants and over 100 markets. The quick-service chain built its early reputation on speed, consistency, and affordable hamburgers, and today its global menu spans burgers, chicken, breakfast, and beverages that have helped popularize American fast-food cuisine worldwide. The firm derives the bulk of its revenue from franchise royalties and rent (about 62%), with the remainder stemming from company-operated restaurants across three segments: the United States (39% of systemwide sales), international operated markets (35%), and international developmental/licensed markets (26%).

Employees 150,000Homepage www.mcdonalds.comHeadquarters Chicago, IL

McDonald's (MCD)Consumer Cyclical / Restaurants

StockRover

Stock Report | September 27, 2026

VALUATION SUMMARY

	MCD	Industry	S&P 500
Value Score	64	58	69
Price / Earnings	19.2	3.2	27.0
Price / Sales	6.1	2.0	3.7
Price / Free Cash Flow	21.8	20.4	36.3
Price / Book	-	11.6	5.9
Price / Tangible Book	-	-	374.0
EV / EBITDA	14.7	16.0	19.7
EPS Predict. Pctl.	94	56	71
Piotroski F Score	7	7	6

5‑Year P/E Range	19.2 36.0
5‑Year P/B Range	- -
5‑Year P/S Range	6.1 9.5

GROWTH SUMMARY

	MCD	Industry	S&P 500
Growth Score	81	65	78
Sales Growth
Sales Growth Next Year	4.0%	7.6%	23.2%
Sales 1‑Year Chg (%)	6.3%	6.4%	22.6%
Sales 3‑Year Avg (%)	4.6%	5.2%	14.8%
Sales 5‑Year Avg (%)	5.0%	7.8%	13.4%
EPS Growth
Next Yr. Growth Est.	7.5%	9.7%	33.7%
EPS 1‑Year Chg (%)	5.5%	-3.9%	37.3%
EPS 3‑Year Avg (%)	4.3%	6.0%	18.3%
EPS 5‑Year Avg (%)	6.0%	8.3%	15.3%

PEERS ANALYSIS SUMMARY

Ticker

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Cap ($M USD)

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P/E

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Fwd. Yield

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1M Return

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1Y Return

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Margin of Safety

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Value Score

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Growth Score

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Quality Score

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MCD

McDonald's

$167,357

19.2

3.3%

-11.2%

-19.8%

11%

SBUX

Starbucks

$108,140

54.8

2.6%

-10.3%

16.0%

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill

$39,645

28.7

-16.3%

-20.3%

YUM

Yum Brands

$37,832

17.5

2.2%

-10.8%

-6.0%

-6%

DRI

Darden Restaurants

$22,679

19.4

3.1%

-9.4%

10.2%

YUMC

Yum China Holdings

$13,702

14.8

2.7%

-16.2%

-3.4%

22%

TXRH

Texas Roadhouse

$10,486

25.6

1.8%

-21.1%

-0.4%

18%

DPZ

Domino's Pizza

$9,664

16.6

2.7%

-16.0%

-29.4%

15%

EAT

Brinker International

$8,653

19.1

-16.7%

55.8%

CAVA

Cava Group

$6,024

93.8

-25.6%

-17.6%

-3%

BROS

Dutch Bros

$5,226

52.6

-25.8%

-29.0%

36%

CAKE

The Cheesecake Factory

$5,199

28.3

1.1%

-7.9%

95.9%

-4%

McDonald's (MCD)Consumer Cyclical / Restaurants

StockRover

Stock Report | September 27, 2026

PROFITABILITY SUMMARY

	MCD	Industry	S&P 500
Quality Score	86	59	75
Gross Margin	57.4%	33.3%	32.8%
Operating Margin	45.7%	13.9%	16.9%
Net Margin	31.7%	8.1%	13.8%
Return on Assets	14.7%	11.5%	15.4%
Return on Equity	-100.0%	-100.0%	40.2%
ROIC	18.8%	17.1%	32.2%

RETURNS SUMMARY

	MCD	Industry	S&P 500
Sentiment Score	45	47	62
5‑Day Return	-4.7%	-3.0%	1.2%
1‑Month Return	-11.2%	-10.7%	1.1%
YTD Return	-21.1%	-8.1%	14.0%
1‑Year Return	-19.8%	-8.1%	18.5%
3‑Year Return	-5.8%	-2.5%	85.1%
5‑Year Return	7.8%	-4.2%	85.9%
Beta 1‑Year	0.00	0.23	1.00

DIVIDEND

	MCD	Industry
Forward Dividend Yield	3.3%	2.4%
Payout Ratio	59.5%	56.0%
TTM Yield	3.2%	-
Fwd. Div. Per Share	$7.72	$3.36
Div. 1Y Chg (%)	5.1%	-
Div. 3Y Avg (%)	7.0%	-
Div. 5Y Avg (%)	7.6%	-
Cons. Growth Years	10+	-
Div. Coverage Ratio	1.6	12.7

DEBT & EQUITY

Current Ratio	1.1
Quick Ratio	1.1
Price	$236.50
Net Cash Per Share	-$75.63
Equity Per Share	-$1.44
Solvency Ratio	19%
Interest Coverage	7.9
Short % of Float	1.9%
Altman Z‑Score	4.5

ANALYST REVISIONS

Current Quarter EPS
# Up Last 30 days	9.00
# Down Last 30 days	15.00
Mean Estimate	3.39
% Change (30 Days)	-0.52%

Next Quarter EPS
# Up Last 30 days	6.00
# Down Last 30 days	20.00
Mean Estimate	3.29
% Change (30 Days)	-0.43%

MEAN ESTIMATE TREND

	Cur Qtr	Next Qtr	Cur Year	Next Year
Latest	$3.39	$3.29	$12.90	$13.87
30 Days Ago	$3.40	$3.30	$12.93	$13.98
90 Days Ago	$3.45	$3.36	$12.98	$14.22
% Change (90 Days)	-2.0%	-2.2%	-0.6%	-2.5%

McDonald's (MCD)Consumer Cyclical / Restaurants

StockRover

Stock Report | September 27, 2026

EARNINGS SURPRISES

Earnings surprise is the difference between a company's announced earnings and the average analyst estimated value. Surprises typically causes the stock price to jump and are often followed by more of the same surprise type.

Surprise Summary (Last 12 Quarters)

Surprise Type	Amount	Percent
Positive Quarters (> 2%)	4	33.3%
Negative Quarters (< 2%)	2	16.7%
In-Line Quarters (within 2%)	6	50.0%

Surprise Detail (Last 6 Quarters)

Surprise Type	Announce Date	Period End Date	Actual EPS	Est. EPS	Surprise (%)
In-Line	08/04/26	06/30/26	$3.38	$3.32	1.8%
Positive	05/07/26	03/31/26	$2.83	$2.74	3.3%
Positive	02/09/26	12/31/25	$3.12	$3.05	2.3%
Negative	11/05/25	09/30/25	$3.22	$3.35	-3.9%
In-Line	08/06/25	06/30/25	$3.19	$3.15	1.3%
In-Line	05/01/25	-	$2.67	$2.64	1.1%

RISK

	MCD	Industry	S&P 500
Best Monthly Return (5Y)	15.9%	8.9%	9.6%
Worst Monthly Return (5Y)	-10.0%	-7.0%	-9.6%
Beta 1‑Year	0.00	0.23	1.00
Volatility 1‑Year	0.19	0.15	0.13
Volatility 1Y Pctl.	18	-	-
Max Drawdown 1‑Year	-29.3%	-24.1%	-8.8%
Max Drawdown 3‑Year	-29.3%	-32.2%	-18.7%
Max Drawdown 5‑Year	-29.3%	-34.8%	-24.6%

SEASONALITY

Seasonal Performance vs the S&P 500

5-YEAR RELATIVE PERFORMANCE VS S&P 500

Relative to the S&P 500 baseline, MCD has underperformed the S&P 500 by -77.6% in the past 5 Years.

MCD has underperformed its sector by -12.4% in the past 5 Years.

The Consumer Cyclical sector has underperformed the market by -65.2% in the past 5 Years.

McDonald's 5-YEAR RELATIVE PERFORMANCE VS S&P 500 chart

McDonald's (MCD)Consumer Cyclical / Restaurants

StockRover

Stock Report | September 27, 2026

Overall Rating
vs. Peers

Ratings scores are relative to industry groups. They compare key metrics to rank stocks vs. their competitors.
For example, higher growth than peers will score high even when the absolute growth is below the market average.

Growth vs Peers

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Growth Rating vs. Peers

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Sales QoQ Chg.

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Eps QoQ Chg.

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Sales Growth Next Y.

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Sales 1Y Chg (%)

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Sales 3Y Avg (%)

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Sales 5Y Avg (%)

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YUM

Yum Brands

12.3%

131.6%

-1.1%

10.3%

7.7%

6.8%

DRI

Darden Restaurants

5.1%

-6.4%

6.1%

8.1%

7.5%

10.9%

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill

9.3%

0.0%

10.8%

7.3%

10.2%

12.7%

MCD

McDonald's

3.8%

5.7%

4.0%

6.3%

4.6%

5.0%

SBUX

Starbucks

-1.4%

85.7%

1.6%

4.5%

3.1%

7.2%

Valuation vs Peers

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Valuation Rating vs. Peers

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P/E

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Fwd. P/E

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PEG Trailing

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P/S

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P/B

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5Y P/E Range

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DRI

Darden Restaurants

19.4

16.1

1.9

1.7

11.0

14.1

33.3

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill

28.7

22.9

1.3

3.3

18.1

24.7

135.8

YUM

Yum Brands

17.5

20.0

1.4

4.4

17.1

33.6

MCD

McDonald's

19.2

17.1

3.2

6.1

19.2

36.0

SBUX

Starbucks

54.8

30.5

2.8

18.9

135.8

Efficiency vs Peers

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Company

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Efficiency Rating vs. Peers

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Gross Margin

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Operating Margin

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Net Margin

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5Y ROE Range

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5Y ROA Range

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CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill

24.1%

15.4%

11.4%

28.4%

64.5%

10.3%

17.6%

DRI

Darden Restaurants

21.7%

12.2%

8.9%

29.9%

57.2%

8.1%

10.0%

MCD

McDonald's

57.4%

45.7%

31.7%

-100.0%

-90.0%

11.6%

16.3%

YUM

Yum Brands

45.3%

30.4%

25.4%

-31.2%

-14.0%

21.2%

28.3%

SBUX

Starbucks

22.1%

10.1%

5.2%

-78.9%

-16.3%

4.2%

15.0%

Financial Strength vs Peers

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Company

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Financial Str. Rating vs. Peers

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Debt / Equity

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Interest Coverage

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Quick Ratio

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Intangibles %

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Solvency Ratio

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Short % of Float

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CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill

2.5

0.6

0.3%

28%

3.6%

DRI

Darden Restaurants

3.2

7.8

0.2

22.7%

20%

7.9%

SBUX

Starbucks

6.5

0.5

5.0%

12%

3.9%

MCD

McDonald's

7.9

1.1

5.6%

19%

1.9%

YUM

Yum Brands

5.3

0.6

17.5%

18%

3.7%

Dividends vs Peers

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Dividends Rating vs. Peers

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Fwd. Yield

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TTM Yield

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Price

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Fwd. Div. Per Share

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Consecutive Div. Growth Years

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Payout Ratio

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MCD

McDonald's

3.3%

3.2%

$236.50

$7.72

10+

59.5%

DRI

Darden Restaurants

3.1%

$199.75

$6.12

59.4%

YUM

Yum Brands

2.2%

2.1%

$138.63

$3.00

36.6%

SBUX

Starbucks

2.6%

$94.86

$2.48

142.8%

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill

$31.33

Momentum vs Peers

Ticker

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Company

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Momentum Rating vs. Peers

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1M Return

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3M Return

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6M Return

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YTD Return

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1Y Return

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Beta 1Y

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Volatility 1Y

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Price vs 52‑wk High (%)

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SBUX

Starbucks

-10.3%

-7.5%

3.5%

14.7%

16.0%

0.55

0.27

85.8%

DRI

Darden Restaurants

-9.4%

-5.4%

0.6%

11.1%

10.2%

0.23

0.27

86.9%

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill

-16.3%

-2.9%

-3.6%

-15.3%

-20.3%

0.71

0.42

73.2%

YUM

Yum Brands

-10.8%

-7.8%

-12.0%

-7.0%

-6.0%

0.04

0.24

81.5%

MCD

McDonald's

-11.2%

-10.0%

-23.1%

-21.1%

-19.8%

0.00

0.19

69.2%

McDonald's (MCD)Consumer Cyclical / Restaurants

StockRover

Stock Report | September 27, 2026

DIVIDEND DETAIL

CALENDAR YEAR DIVIDEND HISTORY

Year

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Ex-Dividend Date

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Pay Date

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Text

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Amount

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2026 Dividends

$7.51

12/01/26

12/15/26

Regular

$1.93

09/01/26

09/16/26

Regular

$1.86

06/02/26

06/16/26

Regular

$1.86

03/03/26

03/17/26

Regular

$1.86

2025 Dividends

$7.17

12/01/25

12/15/25

Regular

$1.86

09/02/25

09/16/25

Regular

$1.77

06/02/25

06/16/25

Regular

$1.77

03/03/25

03/17/25

Regular

$1.77

2024 Dividends

$6.78

12/02/24

12/16/24

Regular

$1.77

09/03/24

09/17/24

Regular

$1.67

06/03/24

06/17/24

Regular

$1.67

02/29/24

03/15/24

Regular

$1.67

2023 Dividends

$6.23

11/30/23

12/15/23

Regular

$1.67

08/31/23

09/18/23

Regular

$1.52

06/02/23

06/20/23

Regular

$1.52

02/28/23

03/15/23

Regular

$1.52

2022 Dividends

$5.66

11/30/22

12/15/22

Regular

$1.52

08/31/22

09/16/22

Regular

$1.38

06/03/22

06/20/22

Regular

$1.38

UPCOMING DIVIDEND

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Ex-Dividend Date

12/01/26

Payment Date

12/15/26

Amount

$1.93

Type

Regular

DIVIDEND RATE

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Regular Dividend

$1.93

Forward Dividend Rate

$7.72

Forward Dividend Yield

3.3%

Trailing 12 Months Dividends

$7.44

Trailing 12 Months Yield

3.2%

STATISTICS

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Payout Ratio

59.5

Dividend Coverage Ratio

1.6

Consecutive Growth Years

10+

3 Year Growth Rate

7.0%

5 Year Growth Rate

7.6%

10 Year Growth Rate

7.6%

McDonald's (MCD)Consumer Cyclical / Restaurants

StockRover

Stock Report | September 27, 2026

FINANCIAL STATEMENT SUMMARY

Income Statement

Revenue

Operating Income

Net income

Earnings per share diluted

Average shares diluted

P/E Ratio

Balance Sheet

Cash

Current assets

Net Property, Plant and Equipment

Working Capital

Net Debt

Stockholders' Equity

Cash Flow

Operating Cash Flow

Cap Ex

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow per share

Profitability

Operating Margin

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Invested Capital

Dividends

Dividends Per Share

Dividend Yield

Dividend Growth

Dividend Coverage

23,223

23,182

25,495

25,920

26,885

27,701

3.8%

9,873

10,345

11,747

11,851

12,394

12,661

5.4%

7,545

6,177

8,469

8,223

8,563

8,787

3.3%

$10.04

$8.33

$11.56

$11.39

$11.95

$12.31

4.4%

752

741

732

722

716

714

-1.1%

27.6

33.2

26.2

25.5

26.1

19.2

-7.4%

4,709

2,584

4,579

1,085

774

822

-30.8%

7,148

5,424

7,986

4,599

4,163

4,345

-10.0%

38,273

36,339

38,421

38,634

42,847

42,938

2.5%

3,129

1,622

1,127

738

-198

327

-37.9%

44,640

46,115

48,512

50,863

54,040

53,770

4.0%

-4,601

-6,003

-4,706

-3,796

-1,790

-1,022

12.9%

9,142

7,387

9,612

9,447

10,551

11,347

4.7%

-2,040

-1,899

-2,357

-2,775

-3,365

-3,586

-25.9%

7,102

5,488

7,255

6,671

7,186

7,761

1.9%

$9.45

$7.40

$9.91

$9.24

$10.03

$10.88

3.0%

42.5%

44.6%

46.1%

45.7%

46.1%

45.7%

1.5%

14.4%

12.2%

16.2%

15.0%

14.7%

0.4%

-100.0%

19.6%

16.8%

21.1%

19.6%

18.9%

18.8%

-0.9%

$5.25

$5.66

$6.23

$6.78

$7.17

$7.72

8.5%

2.1%

2.3%

2.4%

3.3%

10.2%

7.8%

10.1%

8.8%

5.8%

10.6%

1.9x

1.5x

1.9x

1.7x

-2.8%

USD in Millions

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Chart

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2021

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2022

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2023

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2024

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2025

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TTM

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CAGR

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VALUATION & PROFITABILITY HISTORY

Date

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TTM

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1 Yr Ago

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2 Yrs. Ago

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3 Yrs. Ago

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4 Yrs. Ago

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Price / Earnings

19.2

26.7

25.5

29.0

26.0

Price / Cash Flow

14.9

22.2

22.8

22.9

Price / Book

Price / Tangible Book

Price / Sales

6.1

8.5

7.8

EV / EBITDA

14.7

18.8

19.2

18.5

20.9

Forward Dividend Yield

3.3%

2.3%

2.2%

2.3%

2.2%

Shareholder Yield

4.7%

3.3%

4.0%

3.5%

4.1%

Gross Margin

57.4%

57.0%

57.5%

55.3%

Net Margin

31.7%

32.2%

32.3%

33.1%

25.8%

Return on Assets

14.7%

14.9%

15.6%

16.0%

11.8%

Return on Equity

-100.0%

-95.5%

ROIC

18.8%

19.4%

20.3%

21.1%

16.3%

McDonald's (MCD)Consumer Cyclical / Restaurants

StockRover

Stock Report | September 27, 2026

WARNINGS

Name

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Severity

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Details

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Negative Sales Growth Years

Low

Number of Years: 5; Sales 1Y Chg (%): 6.3%

In the last decade this company has had several years with negative revenue growth. If the top-line sales are shrinking this company could be a value trap that looks inexpensive on some measures but never outperforms the market.

Downward EPS Revisions

Low

Net EPS Rev. Cur. Qtr.: -6

Analyst estimates for the next quarter have been revised down. Check for recent news stories about why the future outlook is darker.

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Metric Definitions

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Quantitative Scores

Our scores analytics is to offer our concise analysis of a stock in powerful, but easy to digest format. Each of the composite score metrics are designed to use the best available accounting practices as well as source data from SEC filings. The scores are computed for a company vs. the market as a whole.

Fair Value

Fair value performs a forecasted discounted cash flow analysis of a company to determine the company's intrinsic value based on the expected future cash flows the company will produce. It basically determines what a company is worth based on how much cash flow it is expected to generate for you in the future, taking into account the time value of money and the predictability of those forecasted cash flows.

Peers

Peer ratings are computed from ranking companies in the same industry group. The selection of peers shown in the tables above are chosen from the same industry and closest proximity of revenue.

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Additional data provided by Zacks, Intrinio, Quandl, Yodlee, IEX Cloud

McDonald's (MCD) Research Report — September 27, 2026

ANALYST CONSENSUS

QUANTITATIVE SCORES

BUSINESS SUMMARY

VALUATION SUMMARY

GROWTH SUMMARY

PEERS ANALYSIS SUMMARY

PROFITABILITY SUMMARY

RETURNS SUMMARY

DIVIDEND

DEBT & EQUITY

ANALYST REVISIONS

MEAN ESTIMATE TREND

EARNINGS SURPRISES

RISK

SEASONALITY

5-YEAR RELATIVE PERFORMANCE VS S&P 500

Growth vs Peers

Valuation vs Peers

Efficiency vs Peers

Financial Strength vs Peers

Dividends vs Peers

Momentum vs Peers

DIVIDEND DETAIL

Returns

CALENDAR YEAR DIVIDEND HISTORY

UPCOMING DIVIDEND

DIVIDEND RATE

STATISTICS

FINANCIAL STATEMENT SUMMARY

VALUATION & PROFITABILITY HISTORY

WARNINGS

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