Dividend Adjusted Return
Sep 25, 2025 - Sep 25, 2026CAT 821.58 (+76.5%)
Industrials 327.06 (+13.0%)
S&P 500 7743.41 (+17.9%)






Stock Rover estimates Caterpillar’s intrinsic (fair) value at $727.85, against a recent price of $821.58, a margin of safety of -11%. Quantitative scores (0–100): Value 57, Quality 85, Growth 95, Sentiment 87. Analyst consensus: Buy.







Fair Value | $727.85 | |
Margin of Safety | -11% |
Value Score 57 Value Score: Our value score looks at EV/EBITDA, P/E, P/S, P/TB (Price/Tangible Book) and EPS Predictability. P/S and P/TB are compared within a sector. Other metrics are compared across all stocks | Quality Score 85 Quality Score: Our quality score compares profitability and balance sheet metrics to find high quality companies using ROIC, Net Margin, Gross Margin, Interest Coverage, and Debt / Equity metrics. |
Growth Score 95 Growth Score: Our growth score looks at the 5 year history and the forward estimates for EBITDA, Sales, and EPS growth, ranking the best companies across all stocks. | Sentiment Score 87 Sentiment Score: Our sentiment score finds stocks in favor by analyzing Short Interest, returns in key periods over the last year, Price vs. 52-wk High, Days Since 52-wk High and MACD signals. |
| CAT | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value Score | 57 | 63 | 69 |
| Price / Earnings | 35.4 | 19.1 | 27.0 |
| Price / Sales | 5.1 | 0.8 | 3.7 |
| Price / Free Cash Flow | 42.7 | 35.0 | 36.3 |
| Price / Book | 19.5 | 3.9 | 5.9 |
| Price / Tangible Book | 28.8 | 28.0 | 374.0 |
| EV / EBITDA | 24.7 | 22.2 | 19.7 |
| EPS Predict. Pctl. | 86 | 64 | 71 |
| Piotroski F Score | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 5‑Year P/E Range | 12.4 56.2 |
| 5‑Year P/B Range | 5.1 25.2 |
| 5‑Year P/S Range | 1.6 7.4 |
| CAT | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Growth Score | 95 | 67 | 78 |
| Sales Growth | |||
| Sales Growth Next Year | 11.2% | 5.3% | 23.2% |
| Sales 1‑Year Chg (%) | 18.4% | 10.2% | 22.6% |
| Sales 3‑Year Avg (%) | 4.9% | 1.5% | 14.8% |
| Sales 5‑Year Avg (%) | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.4% |
| EPS Growth | |||
| Next Yr. Growth Est. | 19.1% | 21.0% | 33.7% |
| EPS 1‑Year Chg (%) | 18.2% | 10.7% | 37.3% |
| EPS 3‑Year Avg (%) | 13.1% | -0.9% | 18.3% |
| EPS 5‑Year Avg (%) | 23.9% | 13.6% | 15.3% |






CAT | Caterpillar | $377,659 | 35.4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 78.8% | -11% | 57 | 95 | 85 |
DE | Deere | $186,165 | 38.4 | 0.9% | 9.5% | 49.8% | -28% | 58 | 62 | 66 |
SNHIY | Sany Heavy Industry Co | $82,571 | 66.9 | 1.2% | -6.0% | - | -9% | 57 | - | 81 |
VLVLY | Volvo | $67,002 | 17.5 | 2.8% | -11.1% | 21.6% | 15% | 77 | 72 | 72 |
PCAR | PACCAR | $58,589 | 23.4 | 1.3% | -13.9% | 19.3% | 6% | 77 | 68 | 47 |
DTGHF | Daimler Truck Holding | $36,923 | 28.9 | 4.6% | -10.8% | 20.3% | 24% | 87 | 57 | 53 |
CNH | CNH Industrial | $21,050 | 52.4 | 0.8% | 13.2% | 22.4% | -32% | 69 | 53 | 50 |
TRATF | Traton | $19,849 | 9.6 | 2.7% | -8.9% | 10.5% | - | 64 | 74 | 71 |
AGCO | AGCO | $8,265 | 16.3 | 1.0% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 15% | 73 | 71 | 68 |
OSK | Oshkosh | $8,195 | 15.2 | 1.7% | -14.5% | 5.8% | 38% | 92 | 85 | 77 |
FSS | Federal Signal | $7,004 | 24.7 | 0.5% | -4.9% | -6.1% | -14% | 71 | 97 | 90 |
TEX | Terex | $6,552 | 27.4 | 1.2% | -12.1% | 14.6% | 32% | 74 | 95 | 56 |
| CAT | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality Score | 85 | 64 | 75 |
| Gross Margin | 32.5% | 25.3% | 32.8% |
| Operating Margin | 17.5% | 10.6% | 16.9% |
| Net Margin | 14.5% | 8.0% | 13.8% |
| Return on Assets | 11.3% | 7.6% | 15.4% |
| Return on Equity | 55.9% | 30.2% | 40.2% |
| ROIC | 18.0% | 11.6% | 32.2% |
| CAT | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sentiment Score | 87 | 54 | 62 |
| 5‑Day Return | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| 1‑Month Return | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% |
| YTD Return | 44.3% | 31.4% | 14.0% |
| 1‑Year Return | 78.8% | 46.3% | 18.5% |
| 3‑Year Return | 212.4% | 110.4% | 85.1% |
| 5‑Year Return | 354.9% | 129.7% | 85.9% |
| Beta 1‑Year | 1.73 | 0.98 | 1.00 |






| CAT | Industry | |
|---|---|---|
| Forward Dividend Yield | 0.8% | 1.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 25.9% | 30.1% |
| TTM Yield | 0.8% | - |
| Fwd. Div. Per Share | $6.52 | $3.71 |
| Div. 1Y Chg (%) | 7.9% | - |
| Div. 3Y Avg (%) | 7.8% | - |
| Div. 5Y Avg (%) | 8.0% | - |
| Cons. Growth Years | 10+ | - |
| Div. Coverage Ratio | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Current Ratio | 1.4 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 |
| Price | $821.58 |
| Net Cash Per Share | -$82.76 |
| Equity Per Share | $42.19 |
| Debt / Equity | 2.3 |
| Solvency Ratio | 18% |
| Interest Coverage | 27.3 |
| Short % of Float | 1.8% |
| Altman Z‑Score | 5.0 |
| Current Quarter EPS | |
|---|---|
# Up Last 30 days | 16.00 |
# Down Last 30 days | 2.00 |
Mean Estimate | 6.92 |
% Change (30 Days) | -0.05% |
| Next Quarter EPS | |
|---|---|
# Up Last 30 days | 15.00 |
# Down Last 30 days | 3.00 |
Mean Estimate | 6.92 |
% Change (30 Days) | -0.13% |
| Cur Qtr | Next Qtr | Cur Year | Next Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latest | $6.92 | $6.92 | $27.19 | $32.38 |
| 30 Days Ago | $6.92 | $6.93 | $27.30 | $32.16 |
| 90 Days Ago | $6.40 | $6.67 | $24.67 | $30.15 |
| % Change (90 Days) | 8.1% | 3.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% |
| Surprise Type | Amount | Percent |
|---|---|---|
| Positive Quarters (> 2%) | 9 | 75.0% |
| Negative Quarters (< 2%) | 2 | 16.7% |
| In-Line Quarters (within 2%) | 1 | 8.3% |
| Surprise Type | Announce Date | Period End Date | Actual EPS | Est. EPS | Surprise (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positive | 08/04/26 | 06/30/26 | $8.17 | $6.25 | 30.7% |
| Positive | 04/30/26 | 03/31/26 | $5.54 | $4.55 | 21.8% |
| Positive | 01/29/26 | 12/31/25 | $5.16 | $4.67 | 10.5% |
| Positive | 10/29/25 | 09/30/25 | $4.95 | $4.52 | 9.5% |
| Negative | 08/05/25 | 06/30/25 | $4.72 | $4.88 | -3.3% |
| In-Line | 04/30/25 | - | $4.25 | $4.30 | -1.2% |
| CAT | Industry | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best Monthly Return (5Y) | 26.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% |
| Worst Monthly Return (5Y) | -17.8% | -13.2% | -9.6% |
| Beta 1‑Year | 1.73 | 0.98 | 1.00 |
| Volatility 1‑Year | 0.39 | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| Volatility 1Y Pctl. | 39 | - | - |
| Max Drawdown 1‑Year | -26.7% | -21.8% | -8.8% |
| Max Drawdown 3‑Year | -34.0% | -27.5% | -18.7% |
| Max Drawdown 5‑Year | -34.0% | -33.0% | -24.6% |











CAT | Caterpillar | 92 | 24.0% | 68.2% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 4.9% | 10.2% |
OSK | Oshkosh | 53 | 6.7% | -7.6% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% |
PCAR | PACCAR | 41 | 0.5% | 4.4% | 10.0% | -10.6% | -5.1% | 4.6% |
CNH | CNH Industrial | 14 | 2.0% | -35.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% | -9.7% | 2.9% |
DE | Deere | 8 | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | -8.1% | 2.5% |
OSK | Oshkosh | 95 | 15.2 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 7.6 78.0 |
PCAR | PACCAR | 53 | 23.4 | 15.4 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 9.5 29.1 |
CAT | Caterpillar | 32 | 35.4 | 25.4 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 19.5 | 12.4 56.2 |
CNH | CNH Industrial | 14 | 52.4 | 19.1 | - | 0.9 | 2.7 | 5.5 - |
DE | Deere | 5 | 38.4 | 30.3 | 45.5 | 4.0 | 6.7 | 10.2 39.4 |
CAT | Caterpillar | 98 | 32.5% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 30.9% 64.3% | 6.5% 13.2% |
DE | Deere | 92 | 34.7% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 17.5% 46.7% | 4.5% 10.7% |
PCAR | PACCAR | 86 | 16.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% 30.0% | 5.4% 13.3% |
OSK | Oshkosh | 65 | 15.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% 18.0% | 1.3% 8.0% |
CNH | CNH Industrial | 62 | 30.6% | 13.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% 31.1% | 0.7% 6.0% |
OSK | Oshkosh | 71 | 0.2 | 6.7 | 0.9 | 21.3% | 22% | 3.5% |
CAT | Caterpillar | 56 | 2.3 | 27.3 | 0.8 | 6.1% | 18% | 1.8% |
DE | Deere | 53 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 5.0% | 10% | 2.0% |
PCAR | PACCAR | 50 | 0.7 | - | 2.9 | - | 16% | 2.8% |
CNH | CNH Industrial | 32 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 5.9 | 11.1% | 3% | 6.9% |
OSK | Oshkosh | 98 | 1.7% | 1.7% | $132.75 | $2.28 | 10+ | 24.6% |
PCAR | PACCAR | 66 | 1.3% | 1.2% | $111.31 | $1.40 | 10+ | 28.2% |
CAT | Caterpillar | 50 | 0.8% | 0.8% | $821.58 | $6.52 | 10+ | 25.9% |
DE | Deere | 39 | 0.9% | 0.9% | $690.46 | $6.48 | 9 | 35.9% |
CNH | CNH Industrial | 2 | 0.8% | 0.8% | $13.09 | $0.10 | 0 | 40.0% |
DE | Deere | 88 | 9.5% | 9.7% | 20.1% | 49.1% | 49.8% | 0.47 | 0.31 | 95.7% |
CNH | CNH Industrial | 85 | 13.2% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 43.3% | 22.4% | 1.09 | 0.41 | 90.5% |
CAT | Caterpillar | 66 | 1.3% | -22.1% | 14.7% | 44.3% | 78.8% | 1.73 | 0.39 | 76.5% |
PCAR | PACCAR | 35 | -13.9% | -8.3% | -3.8% | 2.5% | 19.3% | 0.95 | 0.27 | 79.9% |
OSK | Oshkosh | 26 | -14.5% | -11.8% | -9.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 1.47 | 0.40 | 73.6% |





2026 Dividends | $4.65 |
07/20/26 | 08/19/26 | Regular | $1.63 |
04/20/26 | 05/19/26 | Regular | $1.51 |
01/20/26 | 02/19/26 | Regular | $1.51 |
2025 Dividends | $5.84 |
10/20/25 | 11/20/25 | Regular | $1.51 |
07/21/25 | 08/20/25 | Regular | $1.51 |
04/21/25 | 05/20/25 | Regular | $1.41 |
01/21/25 | 02/20/25 | Regular | $1.41 |
2024 Dividends | $5.42 |
10/21/24 | 11/20/24 | Regular | $1.41 |
07/22/24 | 08/20/24 | Regular | $1.41 |
04/19/24 | 05/20/24 | Regular | $1.30 |
01/19/24 | 02/20/24 | Regular | $1.30 |
2023 Dividends | $5.00 |
10/20/23 | 11/20/23 | Regular | $1.30 |
07/19/23 | 08/18/23 | Regular | $1.30 |
04/21/23 | 05/19/23 | Regular | $1.20 |
01/19/23 | 02/17/23 | Regular | $1.20 |
2022 Dividends | $4.62 |
10/21/22 | 11/18/22 | Regular | $1.20 |
07/19/22 | 08/19/22 | Regular | $1.20 |
04/22/22 | 05/20/22 | Regular | $1.11 |
01/19/22 | 02/18/22 | Regular | $1.11 |
Ex-Dividend Date | 07/20/26 |
Payment Date | 08/19/26 |
Amount | $1.63 |
Type | Regular |
Regular Dividend | $1.63 |
Forward Dividend Rate | $6.52 |
Forward Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
Trailing 12 Months Dividends | $6.16 |
Trailing 12 Months Yield | 0.8% |
Payout Ratio | 25.9 |
Dividend Coverage Ratio | 3.6 |
Consecutive Growth Years | 10+ |
3 Year Growth Rate | 7.8% |
5 Year Growth Rate | 8.0% |
10 Year Growth Rate | 7.8% |
Price / Earnings | 35.4 | 22.6 | 17.1 | 20.3 | 13.8 |
Price / Cash Flow | 28.3 | 19.6 | 14.5 | 14.2 | 15.6 |
Price / Book | 19.5 | 12.1 | 10.5 | 7.8 | 5.1 |
Price / Tangible Book | 28.8 | 16.7 | 16.3 | 11.4 | 10.0 |
Price / Sales | 5.1 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
EV / EBITDA | 24.7 | 17.5 | 13.2 | 12.5 | 10.6 |
Forward Dividend Yield | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% |
Shareholder Yield | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% |
Gross Margin | 32.5% | 34.3% | 35.8% | 32.4% | 28.6% |
Net Margin | 14.5% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 12.5% |
Return on Assets | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
Return on Equity | 55.9% | 50.6% | 64.3% | 45.9% | 43.0% |
ROIC | 18.0% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 13.2% |
Additional data provided by Zacks, Intrinio, Quandl, Yodlee, IEX Cloud
CAT has outperformed its sector by 63.5% in the past year.
The Industrials sector has underperformed the market by -4.9% in the past year.