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Rover’s Weekly Market Brief – 07/11/2025

Weekly Indices

DJIA: 44,347.51 (-1.02%)

NASDAQ: 20,585.53 (+0.02%)

S&P 500: 6,259.75 (-0.26%)

Commodities

Gold: 3,372.90 (+1.04%)

Copper: 559.00 (+8.83%)

Crude Oil: 68.60 (+2.10%)

Checking Performance vs Competitors

We have created a help section called How To which provides concise, direct recipes for performing common tasks in Stock Rover.

The How To [1] posts can quickly show how you accomplish things and help you use Stock Rover more productively. Today we want to highlight Checking Performance vs Competitors. [2]

Economy

The EIA’s July 2025 Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts [3] falling oil prices through 2026, with Brent crude averaging $69/barrel in 2025 (up $3 from prior forecasts) before dropping to $58/barrel in 2026 due to growing global inventories, this despite Mideast tensions. U.S. crude oil production is projected to edge down from its Q2 2025 peak due to lower oil prices curbing drilling activity, averaging 13.4 million b/d annually in both 2025 and 2026. U.S. natural gas storage is robust, leading to a 9% downward revision for Q3 2025 Henry Hub prices to $3.40/MMBtu, though prices are expected to recover to $4.40/MMBtu in 2026, supported by stable production and increased LNG exports. Solar power is projected to grow 34% this summer, nearing wind as the leading renewable. Wholesale electricity prices are forecast to increase 12% year-over-year, driven by higher natural gas costs and potential heat waves. The outlook incorporates tariff adjustments through July but excludes future trade or OPEC+ impacts.

The Federal Reserve’s July G.19 Consumer Credit report for May 2025 reported [4] a slowdown in borrowing activity, as higher interest rates appear to be weighing on household demand. Total consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.2%, significantly down from April’s 4.0% gain. Revolving credit—primarily credit card debt—declined by 3.2%, significantly down from April’s 6.9% gain. Conversely, nonrevolving credit, which includes auto and student loans, rose by 2.8%, but down slightly from April’s 3.0% gain. The total outstanding consumer credit balance reached $5.048 trillion, split between $1.299 trillion in revolving and $3.749 trillion in nonrevolving credit.

The minutes [5] from the June 17–18 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting showed cautious optimism among participants. The Committee kept the federal funds rate at 4¼ to 4½ percent, noting that the economy continued to expand at a solid pace and that labor market conditions remained strong, with unemployment still low. Inflation was described as “somewhat elevated,” though concerns over tariffs had eased, contributing to a decline in overall uncertainty. Most participants saw rate cuts later this year as likely appropriate if inflation continues to fall and labor market conditions soften, while others argued for holding steady due to persistent inflation and economic resilience. The minutes also highlighted the ongoing balance sheet runoff and reinforced the Fed’s commitment to its dual mandate of maximum employment and stable prices.

Upcoming Economic Reports:

Tuesday July 15 – CPI (MoM) (June)

Wednesday July 16 – PPI (MoM) (June)

Earnings Calendar:

 

Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
Fastenal
(FAST)
JB Hunt
Transport Servs
(JBHT)
Johnson &
Johnson
(JNJ)
Netflix
(NFLX)
American
Express
(AXP)
PrairieSky
Royalty
(PSK.TO)
JPMorgan
Chase
(JPM)
United Airlines
Holdings
(UAL)
Taiwan
Semiconductor
(TSM)
3M
(MMM)